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Dr. Coats' Economic Blog

Article
This week's commodity and financial chart analyses

Trading range may be product of recent developments in the financial markets on soybean futures going forward, University of Arkansas analysis shows...
Nov. 28, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/weeks-commodity-and-financial-chart-analyses

Article
Are cotton, soybean prices headed higher?

Weekly commodity chart analysis pointing to possible bullishness for cotton, soybeans, not so much for corn, rice...
Nov. 28, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/soybeans/are-cotton-soybean-prices-headed-higher

Article
Presidential election – Catalyst for “REFLATION TRADE?”

Change in administrations leading analysts to take closer look at charts, central bank fiscal and monetary policies as year-end approaches...
Nov. 21, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/legislative/presidential-election-catalyst-reflation-trade

Datasheet
Reflation Trade: Stocks rallying, Treasuries and dollar rising

Will the presidential election change the economic outlook? The University of Arkansas' Dr. Bobby Coats examines the question in the accompany charts...
Nov. 21, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/reflation-trade-stocks-rallying-treasuries-and-dollar-rising

Datasheet
Coats: Market Price Considerations, Nov. 14, 2016

Mon, 2016-11-14 13:03 161114-Coats-Trump-DFP.pdf Exclude from content lists Show promo image No...
Nov. 14, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/coats-market-price-considerations-nov-14-2016

Commentary
Market outlook: Trump presidency, inflation expectations rising

Market participants are anticipating inflationary forces will build as world governments and monetary officials become proactive in limiting global recessionary forces impacted by growing global growth...
Nov. 14, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/outlook/market-outlook-trump-presidency-inflation-expectations-rising

Article
Anxious global markets await U.S. election results

Turkish-Russian alliance raises prospects of continued uncertainty in Middle East and in the world's commodity markets, Extension professor says...
Nov. 7, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/outlook/anxious-global-markets-await-us-election-results

Datasheet
Market price considerations for the long-awaited week beginning Nov. 7

As anxious global markets await the results of Tuesday's election results, market participants will be adjusting their plans to the outcome. Market moves could be aggressive or restrained. Market participants at this point must expect the unexpected, according to Bobby Coats, professor in the...
Nov. 7, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/market-price-considerations-long-awaited-week-beginning-nov-7

Datasheet
Running a hot economy could boost global commodity demand, markets

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting Tuesday and Wednesday (Nov. 1 and 2) will set the U.S. monetary policy tone for the remainder of the calendar year and into next year...
Oct. 31, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/running-hot-economy-could-boost-global-commodity-demand-markets

Datasheet
Anemic global growth – Building military friction

Movement of warships in key areas of Middle East and Asia could threaten already fragile commodity markets, analyst writes in weekly report...
Oct. 24, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/anemic-global-growth-building-military-friction

Datasheet
Coats-161018-Fed-IMF-Slide-Show

Tue, 2016-10-18 07:35 Coats-10-17-16-Final-Fed-IMF-Farm-Press-Slide-Show.pdf Exclude from content lists Show promo image No...
Oct. 18, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/coats-161018-fed-imf-slide-show

Commentary
Fed, IMF floating aggressive simulative/accommodative blue print

Anemic growth, recessions, depressions common globally require immediate additional global aggressive intervention by governments and central banks...
Oct. 18, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/marketing/fed-imf-floating-aggressive-simulativeaccommodative-blue-print

Article
Global financials key influencer for rice, cotton, grain markets

Continued fallout from Deutsche Bank and Brexit along with U.S. Federal Reserve policies creating continued uncertainty in U.S. commodity markets...
Oct. 10, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/global-financials-key-influencer-rice-cotton-grain-markets

Datasheet
European political, economic developments continue to cast shadows

Developments in Europe and the U.S. are creating short-term bearishness; long-term bullishness for U.S. rice, cotton and grain markets...
Oct. 10, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/european-political-economic-developments-continue-cast-shadows

Article
BREXIT (3 Months Old) catalyst for EU ‘contagion’

Slow-to-no-growth policy and social mood could lead to more defections from European Union and unrest around the world over next few years...
Sep. 26, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/soybeans/brexit-3-months-old-catalyst-eu-contagion

Infographic
UA Economics: World rice production at record levels, trade slowing

World rice production is expected to reach record levels again in the 2016-17 marketing year, but world rice trade is slowing due to anemic growth in the world economy...
Sep. 16, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/ua-economics-world-rice-production-record-levels-trade-slowing

Commentary
USDA September Outlook Reports: What do the numbers mean?

Farmers who are either harvesting or preparing to harvest may want to review these slides as they contemplate selling or finishing the marketing of their 2016 crops...
Sep. 13, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/usda-september-outlook-reports-what-do-numbers-mean

Article
USDA adjusts forecasts based on record corn, soybean crops

U.S. commodity prices show little reaction to the record- and near-record crop production forceasts in USDA's August report...
Aug. 15, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/usda-adjusts-forecasts-based-record-corn-soybean-crops

Article
Coats: Near-term price outlook for Mid-South crops

Robert Coats, University of Arkansas professor of economics, analyzed the near-term price outlook for rice, soybeans, cotton, corn and wheat...
Aug. 8, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/markets/coats-near-term-price-outlook-mid-south-crops

Article
Supply and demand estimates, global events impacting crop prices

"As for building supply concerns, the WASDE report shows the productive capabilities of U.S. traditional program crop producers is alive and well. Presently, for some commodities this raises concerns that supply will overshadow demand." -- Bobby Coats...
Jul. 18, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/markets/supply-and-demand-estimates-global-events-impacting-crop-prices

Article
Acreage report, global events impacting crop prices

U.S. crop acreage and world anomaly and risk events are impacting rice, cotton, and grain prices...
Jul. 5, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/acreage-report-global-events-impacting-crop-prices

Datasheet
USDA June 2016 Acreage Report Charts - Robert Coats

Delta Farm Press Tue, 2016-07-05 09:34 USDA June 2016 Acreage Report Charts - Robert Coats Exclude from content lists Show promo image No...
Jul. 5, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/usda-june-2016-acreage-report-charts-robert-coats

Datasheet
USDA Acreage Report 06.30.16 - Robert Coats

USDA Acreage Report: 2016 Rice – U.S. & States; U.S. Soybeans, Corn, Sorghum, & Cotton. June 30, 2016. Robert Coats, University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture...
Jun. 30, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/usda-acreage-report-063016-robert-coats

Article
Brexit: What's its impact on rice, cotton, grain prices?

After the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, rice, cotton, soybeans, corn, wheat, and oil experienced price weakness as markets moved into a risk-off mode...
Jun. 27, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/cotton/brexit-whats-its-impact-rice-cotton-grain-prices

Article
UK’s Brexit vote: What impact on rice, cotton, and grain prices?

"On the one-hand a two-year transition seems like a very long time; on the other hand market participants will immediately start repositioning their portfolios and trades, and of course that process has already started." -- Robert Coats, professor, University of Arkansas...
Jun. 20, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/government/uk-s-brexit-vote-what-impact-rice-cotton-and-grain-prices

Article
Fed meeting likely near term supportive to rice, cotton, soy, corn, wh…

Federal Open Market Committee decides to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent, could be supportive for commodity markets...
Jun. 19, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/fed-meeting-likely-near-term-supportive-rice-cotton-soy-corn-wheat

Datasheet
Coats: U.S. rice June 2016

Fri, 2016-06-17 10:05 US Rice SD Slide Show No. 1 Farm Press 06.10.16.pdf Exclude from content lists No No...
Jun. 17, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/coats-us-rice-june-2016

Datasheet
Coats: Global Rice June 2016

Fri, 2016-06-17 10:02 Global Rice Slide Show No. 2 Farm Press 06.10.16.pdf Exclude from content lists No No...
Jun. 17, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/coats-global-rice-june-2016

Article
Robert Coats: Rice outlook – June 2016

Global 2016-17 rice production is at an all-time high, but a world of building risk and uncertainty translate into higher prices in the first half of 2016...
Jun. 16, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/robert-coats-rice-outlook-june-2016

Article
Rice, grain prices responding to U.S., global central bank policies

Federal Open Markets Committee announcement could set the tone for commodity markets for the remainder of 2016...
Jun. 14, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/rice-grain-prices-responding-us-global-central-bank-policies

Article
Fed chairman sends message in pre-Memorial Day interview

Janet Yellin, chairman of the Federal Reserve, appears to be preparing markets for increase in interest rates to head off inflationary pressures...
May 31, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/soybeans/fed-chairman-sends-message-pre-memorial-day-interview

Article
Robert Coats: Rice supply, demand: USDA estimates - May 2016

Robert Coats analyzes USDA’s May 10 release of its first 2016-17 world agricultural supply and demand estimates for U.S. long grain rice...
May 13, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/robert-coats-rice-supply-demand-usda-estimates-may-2016

Datasheet
World Rice Supply and Demand Estimates Slide Show May 10, 2016

Delta Farm Press Fri, 2016-05-13 09:44 Global Rice Farm Press 05.10.16 Coats.pdf Exclude from content lists Show promo image No...
May 13, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/world-rice-supply-and-demand-estimates-slide-show-may-10-2016

Article
USDA April 2016 rice supply and demand estimates

USDA showed limited changes were made to the U.S. Rice Supply and Use Balance Sheet in its April 2016 report of supply and demand...
Apr. 13, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/usda-april-2016-rice-supply-and-demand-estimates

Datasheet

Robert Coats: U.S. Rice Supply and Demand Estimates - April 2016

Delta Farm Press Wed, 2016-04-13 11:05 US Supply and Demand Farm Press 04.12.16.pdf Exclude from content lists Show promo image No...
Apr. 13, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/datasheet/robert-coats-us-rice-supply-and-demand-estimates-april-2016

Article
Robert Coats: Analysis of USDA's 2016 Prospective Planting Report

Given bearish rice, cotton, and grains fundamentals, near-term price direction will be dictated by global macro and political factors and weather expectations...
Mar. 31, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/robert-coats-analysis-usdas-2016-prospective-planting-report

Article
Corn, cotton, rice acres expected to rise in 2016, USDA reports

Farmers tell USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service they will increase plantings of corn, cotton and rice; decrease soybeans, wheat and peanuts...
Mar. 31, 2016 | http://deltafarmpress.com/rice/corn-cotton-rice-acres-expected-rise-2016-usda-reports